Iran’s Demographic Is The Real Problem For Hardliner Clerics
By Gilbert Mercier, NEWS JUNKIE POST
Latest Update: 7/5/2009 @ 6:00 PM ( US/PST)Despite the result of the contested election,and the crack down orchestrated by the Ayatollahs hardliner and their enforcers, the reformists will likely eventually prevail in the medium term.
The presidential elections are taking place in Iran on Friday. The participation is projected to be even higher than usual.
More than 65 % of the 46 Millions Iranians are expected to vote. The women vote & the younger demographic could tilt the vote in favor of Mousavi, the lead reformist candidate.
However, the real power in Iran: The Ayatollahs & Iran’s Revolutionary Guard are pulling all the stops and giving the reformists a warning.
The political chief of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has warned reformists in the country against seeking what he called a “Velvet Revolution”, vowing it would be “nipped in the bud”.
Javani’s comments makes reference to the Velvet Revolution that took place in the Czech Republic in 1989. It is clearly aimed at Mousavi, the reformist candidate challenging president Ahmadinejad.
The words of Javani are clearly expressing the position of the Ayatollahs. It is unlikely that the clerics will release their grip on power, at least not without a fight.
The coverage of the elections is front & center in the Iranian press. This is what the Iranian media is focusing on before the elections. In the Tehran Times, Iran Quest & Payvand.com News. Another interesting read is the own blog of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. His last post was titled ” A guideline for Islamic governance”, it is from 2007 but still outlines his political philosophy.
The polls have now officially closed in Iran’s contested elections ( on 6/12/2009 at 12:00 PST). Al Jazeera reports that supporters of both Ahmadinejad & Mousavi, say they have enough votes to claim victory. This could be a very challenging time for Iran. The final decision will likely be made by the Ayatollahs & enforced by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards.
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